Estudiantes Murcia vs Lorca FC B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.4%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
49%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estudiantes Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
MIN
1 - 1
NUE
52%
21%
27%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
NUE
1 - 3
PIN
54%
22%
24%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
CFC
2 - 4
NUE
43%
23%
34%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
NUE
1 - 1
PUL
57%
21%
22%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
CHU
1 - 3
NUE
40%
23%
37%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Lorca FC B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
PIN
2 - 2
LFC
31%
23%
47%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
LFC
2 - 1
PUL
77%
14%
9%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
CAP
0 - 1
LFC
26%
22%
53%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
LFC
1 - 2
AGU
36%
23%
41%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
IMP
1 - 1
LFC
43%
23%
34%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |