Estudiantes Murcia vs EF Alhama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.1%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
29.5%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estudiantes Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
PUL
2 - 1
NUE
44%
24%
33%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
NUE
1 - 0
CAR
59%
20%
22%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
YEC
0 - 0
NUE
80%
13%
7%
|
19 | 34 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
NUE
0 - 1
MAR
20%
20%
60%
|
19 | 31 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
LOR
2 - 0
NUE
73%
16%
11%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
EF Alhama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
EFA
5 - 3
CFC
23%
26%
51%
|
17 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
PIN
2 - 3
EFA
67%
20%
13%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
EFA
0 - 3
LAU
16%
22%
63%
|
17 | 31 | 14 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
IMP
2 - 0
EFA
70%
19%
11%
|
17 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
EFA
0 - 3
AGU
16%
23%
62%
|
18 | 35 | 17 | -1 |