Estudiantes Murcia vs At. Pulpileño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.8%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
22%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estudiantes Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
CHU
1 - 3
NUE
40%
23%
37%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
NUE
2 - 1
CAP
54%
22%
25%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
LOR
2 - 0
NUE
70%
17%
13%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
NUE
1 - 1
AGU
18%
21%
62%
|
20 | 36 | 16 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
IMP
3 - 2
NUE
63%
20%
17%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
At. Pulpileño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
CAP
1 - 1
PUL
46%
25%
29%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
PUL
0 - 4
AGU
17%
24%
60%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | -2 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
IMP
2 - 2
PUL
65%
21%
14%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
PUL
1 - 0
MAR
17%
23%
60%
|
19 | 31 | 12 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
PUL
0 - 3
EGP
19%
24%
57%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | -1 |