Estudiantes Murcia vs Lorca Deportiva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.2%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.7%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
64%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.5%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.9%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estudiantes Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
AGU
1 - 0
NUE
75%
15%
10%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2017 |
CIE
1 - 3
NUE
57%
20%
23%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
NUE
3 - 2
IMP
32%
24%
44%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
NUE
0 - 4
UCA
39%
23%
38%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
MAR
1 - 0
NUE
64%
19%
17%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Lorca Deportiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2017 |
CDB
0 - 0
LOR
61%
22%
17%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
LOR
2 - 2
CIE
78%
15%
8%
|
37 | 20 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2017 |
LOR
3 - 0
UCA
77%
14%
9%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2016 |
LOR
2 - 0
ORI
52%
22%
25%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
OLI
0 - 1
LOR
13%
18%
69%
|
36 | 16 | 20 | 0 |