Estudiantes Murcia vs Águilas FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.7%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.8%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
60.5%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.8%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estudiantes Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
CIE
2 - 1
NUE
43%
22%
35%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
NUE
4 - 1
BAL
66%
18%
16%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
MIN
2 - 0
NUE
52%
21%
27%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
NUE
1 - 1
IMP
33%
23%
43%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
MIN
1 - 3
NUE
33%
22%
44%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Águilas FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
AGU
1 - 1
UCA
69%
19%
12%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
MUL
0 - 2
AGU
19%
23%
59%
|
34 | 18 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
AGU
0 - 0
LFC
48%
24%
28%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
LAU
1 - 1
AGU
20%
24%
56%
|
34 | 21 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
AGU
2 - 0
PIN
72%
17%
12%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | 0 |