Atlético Mineros vs Sámano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.3%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
43%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+37%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
1
11º
16º
13º
4
1º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
14º
|
1 | 70 |
1º
|
46% | |
|
13º
|
1 | 59 |
2º
|
16.5% | |
|
12º
|
1 | 59 |
3º
|
10% | |
|
9º
|
3 | 58 |
4º
|
11% | |
|
5º
|
4 | 53 |
5º
|
9% | |
|
6º
|
4 | 53 |
6º
|
9% | |
|
4º
|
4 | 53 |
7º
|
10% | |
|
|
8º
|
4 | 50 |
8º
|
9% | |
|
17º
|
0 | 46 |
9º
|
8% | |
|
3º
|
4 | 46 |
10º
|
6% | |
|
11º
|
2 | 42 |
11º
|
7.5% | |
|
2º
|
4 | 41 |
12º
|
9.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
1 | 40 |
13º
|
6.5% | |
|
10º
|
3 | 40 |
14º
|
9% | |
|
16º
|
1 | 38 |
15º
|
12% | |
|
7º
|
4 | 35 |
16º
|
14% | |
|
1º
|
6 | 34 |
17º
|
16% | |
|
18º
|
0 | 31 |
18º
|
28.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
1.5% | 3.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
11.5% | 22.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
49.5% | 64.5% |
|
Relegation
|
37.5% | 9.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Mineros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
GAM
1 - 0
ATM
41%
24%
35%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
ATM
0 - 0
NAV
35%
24%
41%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
NAV
1 - 1
ATM
56%
23%
21%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
ATM
1 - 1
CAS
30%
23%
47%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
ALB
1 - 0
ATM
72%
17%
12%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Sámano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
SAM
1 - 1
CAY
21%
22%
57%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
BEZ
0 - 1
SAM
51%
23%
26%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
SAM
1 - 2
CDG
70%
19%
11%
|
26 | 16 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
SAM
1 - 1
ESC
35%
25%
41%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
MAR
2 - 0
SAM
57%
22%
21%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | -1 |