Atl. Mineiro vs Villa Nova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.6%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.9%
5-0
5.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
<0%
+5
6.6%
4-0
11%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
12.7%
3-0
16.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.2%
+3
19.9%
2-0
18.8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.9%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
<0%
+1
20.1%
10.1%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
3.9%
2-2
0.7%
3-3
0.1%
0
10.1%
2.4%
Win probability
0.28
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
0.5%
2-3
0.1%
-1
2.1%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atl. Mineiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
TOM
0 - 3
ATM
10%
20%
70%
|
85 | 53 | 32 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2015 |
SFE
0 - 1
ATM
33%
28%
39%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
ATM
4 - 0
URT
86%
11%
3%
|
85 | 46 | 39 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2015 |
CAL
1 - 0
ATM
13%
24%
63%
|
85 | 57 | 28 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
CRZ
1 - 1
ATM
59%
22%
18%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Villa Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
VIL
1 - 1
DEM
52%
23%
24%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
TUP
3 - 0
VIL
63%
22%
14%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2015 |
VIL
0 - 4
CRZ
10%
20%
70%
|
49 | 87 | 38 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
VIL
0 - 0
AMF
14%
22%
64%
|
49 | 71 | 22 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2015 |
VIL
0 - 3
COT
13%
20%
67%
|
49 | 80 | 31 | 0 |