Atl. Mineiro vs Villa Nova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.7%
4-0
9.6%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.5%
3-0
13.8%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
19%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
10.9%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
10.9%
4.1%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atl. Mineiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
IFC
2 - 2
ATM
19%
22%
59%
|
79 | 61 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2011 |
ATM
8 - 1
IAP
92%
7%
2%
|
79 | 38 | 41 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
ATM
1 - 2
AMF
76%
16%
9%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2011 |
IAP
2 - 3
ATM
6%
13%
81%
|
80 | 38 | 42 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
GUA
2 - 4
ATM
8%
15%
77%
|
80 | 48 | 32 | 0 |
Matches
Villa Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
USC
0 - 1
VIL
48%
24%
28%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
VIL
2 - 2
GUA
57%
22%
21%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2011 |
DEM
2 - 3
VIL
56%
23%
22%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
FUN
0 - 3
VIL
31%
25%
44%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
VIL
0 - 1
CRZ
10%
20%
71%
|
51 | 85 | 34 | 0 |