Atl. Mineiro vs Vasco da Gama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.5%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
13.7%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atl. Mineiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2017 |
ATM
0 - 2
BAH
74%
18%
9%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2017 |
ATL
1 - 2
ATM
17%
25%
58%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2017 |
ATM
0 - 1
SAN
50%
24%
27%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2017 |
BOT
1 - 1
ATM
36%
26%
39%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2017 |
JWI
1 - 0
ATM
26%
25%
49%
|
85 | 67 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2017 |
SAO
1 - 0
VAS
47%
25%
28%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2017 |
VAS
0 - 0
SAN
25%
26%
50%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2017 |
VIT
1 - 4
VAS
47%
25%
28%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Jul. 2017 |
VAS
0 - 1
FLA
26%
26%
48%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2017 |
COT
2 - 2
VAS
43%
27%
30%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |