Atl. Mineiro vs Sport Recife analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.7%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.5%
9.8%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atl. Mineiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2012 |
SCI
3 - 0
ATM
50%
25%
25%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
ATM
6 - 0
FFL
64%
21%
15%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
POR
1 - 1
ATM
31%
26%
43%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2012 |
FLA
2 - 1
ATM
34%
27%
39%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
ATM
0 - 0
GRE
50%
24%
26%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Sport Recife
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2012 |
SPO
1 - 3
GRE
24%
26%
50%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2012 |
POR
5 - 1
SPO
58%
24%
19%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
COR
3 - 0
SPO
68%
20%
12%
|
70 | 87 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
SPO
1 - 0
COT
25%
27%
49%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
SCI
2 - 2
SPO
68%
21%
11%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | +1 |