Copa do Brasil Quarter-finals
Global 1-0
Atl. Mineiro vs São Paulo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.5%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
24.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atl. Mineiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
GRE
2 - 3
ATM
50%
25%
26%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2024 |
SAO
0 - 1
ATM
45%
26%
28%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
ATM
0 - 2
FLU
51%
25%
24%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
ATM
1 - 0
SLO
64%
22%
15%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
ATM
1 - 1
CUI
52%
25%
23%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
FLU
2 - 0
SAO
50%
25%
26%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2024 |
SAO
0 - 1
ATM
45%
26%
28%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
SAO
2 - 1
VIT
55%
25%
20%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
SAO
2 - 0
NAC
55%
24%
21%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
PAL
2 - 1
SAO
49%
25%
26%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |