Conmebol Sudamericana Last 16
Global 2-1
Atl. Mineiro vs Santa Fe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.7%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
20.2%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atl. Mineiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
SCI
1 - 0
ATM
58%
23%
19%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2010 |
ATM
2 - 1
COR
35%
26%
39%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
ATL
2 - 3
ATM
44%
24%
32%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2010 |
CEA
0 - 0
ATM
25%
26%
49%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
ATM
1 - 2
GRE
38%
26%
37%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Santa Fe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
QUI
3 - 2
SFE
35%
28%
37%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
SFE
1 - 1
CAL
50%
26%
24%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2010 |
CAL
3 - 1
SFE
56%
23%
22%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2010 |
NAC
0 - 1
SFE
51%
25%
24%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2010 |
CFC
0 - 0
SFE
36%
26%
37%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |