Copa Libertadores Last 16
Global 2-1
Atl. Mineiro vs San Lorenzo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.7%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
14.6%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atl. Mineiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
ATM
1 - 1
CUI
52%
25%
23%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
SLO
1 - 1
ATM
32%
28%
40%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
CRZ
0 - 0
ATM
46%
26%
28%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2024 |
ATM
3 - 0
CRB
62%
22%
17%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
CRI
2 - 1
ATM
35%
27%
38%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
San Lorenzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
BOC
3 - 2
SLO
47%
29%
25%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
SLO
1 - 1
ATM
32%
28%
40%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
SLO
0 - 1
ATT
41%
28%
31%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
SLO
1 - 3
VEL
39%
27%
33%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
IND
0 - 0
SLO
45%
29%
26%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |