Copa Libertadores Last 16
Global 2-1
Atl. Mineiro vs Racing Club analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.2%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
25.9%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atl. Mineiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2016 |
AMF
2 - 1
ATM
31%
26%
43%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2016 |
RAC
0 - 0
ATM
43%
26%
32%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
ATM
2 - 0
URT
84%
12%
4%
|
84 | 51 | 33 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
URT
2 - 2
ATM
11%
20%
70%
|
85 | 50 | 35 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2016 |
ATM
4 - 0
MEL
73%
17%
10%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Racing Club
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
HUR
0 - 1
RAC
32%
26%
42%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2016 |
RAC
0 - 0
ATM
43%
26%
32%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
RAC
0 - 0
IND
50%
26%
25%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2016 |
BOL
1 - 1
RAC
28%
22%
50%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
RAC
2 - 2
ARG
74%
18%
8%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |