Atl. Mineiro vs Peñarol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.6%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.8%
13.6%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atl. Mineiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
ATM
3 - 0
CRZ
57%
24%
19%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2024 |
ATM
1 - 1
CRI
68%
20%
12%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
COR
0 - 0
ATM
48%
26%
27%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2024 |
ATM
2 - 1
CEN
63%
21%
16%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | -2 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
CRZ
1 - 3
ATM
32%
28%
41%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
BOS
1 - 3
PEÑ
42%
27%
31%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2024 |
PEÑ
1 - 3
TOR
48%
25%
27%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
PEÑ
2 - 0
DAN
49%
27%
24%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2024 |
PEÑ
5 - 0
CFC
64%
22%
14%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
DEP
1 - 2
PEÑ
30%
28%
42%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |