Atl. Mineiro vs Peñarol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.4%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
16.2%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atl. Mineiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2000 |
ATM
1 - 0
SAN
48%
24%
28%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2000 |
SCI
1 - 1
ATM
41%
26%
33%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2000 |
ATP
2 - 1
ATM
54%
23%
23%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2000 |
ATM
0 - 0
BAH
68%
19%
14%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2000 |
SLO
3 - 4
ATM
52%
24%
24%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2000 |
PEÑ
4 - 3
VAS
31%
27%
42%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2000 |
PAL
3 - 1
PEÑ
72%
17%
11%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2000 |
PEÑ
2 - 0
PAL
28%
27%
45%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2000 |
BOC
3 - 1
PEÑ
64%
20%
16%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2000 |
BLO
3 - 3
PEÑ
49%
23%
29%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |