Atl. Mineiro vs Paraná analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.2%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
22.2%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atl. Mineiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2004 |
FLA
0 - 0
ATM
37%
25%
37%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2004 |
ATM
0 - 2
GOI
51%
24%
25%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2004 |
CRI
4 - 2
ATM
34%
25%
41%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Jul. 2004 |
ATM
1 - 1
VIT
61%
22%
18%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2004 |
ATM
2 - 0
CRZ
37%
25%
37%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Paraná
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2004 |
PAR
2 - 0
PAY
54%
23%
23%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2004 |
GRE
4 - 0
PAR
48%
25%
28%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2004 |
PAR
0 - 1
SAO
43%
27%
30%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Jul. 2004 |
FFL
0 - 0
PAR
49%
24%
27%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2004 |
COR
1 - 0
PAR
43%
25%
32%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |