Atl. Mineiro vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.3%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
15%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atl. Mineiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2007 |
BOT
2 - 1
ATM
60%
21%
19%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2007 |
CRZ
2 - 0
ATM
59%
22%
20%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2007 |
ATM
0 - 0
BOT
52%
24%
25%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2007 |
ATM
4 - 0
CRZ
48%
25%
28%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2007 |
ATM
1 - 0
AVA
79%
14%
7%
|
77 | 58 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2007 |
FFL
1 - 0
NAU
64%
21%
15%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2007 |
NAU
2 - 2
FFL
39%
24%
37%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2007 |
COR
0 - 2
NAU
70%
19%
12%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | +2 |
| 18 Apr. 2007 |
NAU
2 - 2
COR
32%
25%
43%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2007 |
NAU
1 - 1
VCR
88%
9%
4%
|
66 | 43 | 23 | 0 |