Mineiro 1 Final
Global 5-2
Atl. Mineiro vs Ipatinga FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.9%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.4%
10.6%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atl. Mineiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2010 |
ATM
3 - 2
SAN
40%
25%
34%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
IFC
2 - 3
ATM
26%
24%
50%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2010 |
SPO
0 - 2
ATM
40%
25%
36%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
DEM
0 - 0
ATM
13%
18%
69%
|
79 | 56 | 23 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2010 |
ATM
1 - 0
SPO
55%
23%
22%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Ipatinga FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
IFC
2 - 3
ATM
26%
24%
50%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
CRZ
1 - 3
IFC
81%
13%
6%
|
67 | 85 | 18 | +2 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
IFC
0 - 0
CRZ
18%
22%
59%
|
67 | 85 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2010 |
TUP
1 - 1
IFC
28%
24%
48%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
IFC
2 - 1
TUP
71%
18%
12%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | 0 |