Atl. Mineiro vs Guarani MG analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
89.1%
Win probability
2.91
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.2%
+7
1.5%
6-0
3.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.8%
5-0
6.9%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
8%
4-0
11.8%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.2%
+4
14.2%
3-0
16.3%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.4%
2-0
16.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
22.6%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.8%
8.6%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
3.7%
2-2
0.9%
3-3
0.1%
0
8.6%
2.3%
Win probability
0.32
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
0.6%
2-3
0.1%
-1
1.9%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atl. Mineiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2013 |
ARS
2 - 5
ATM
38%
26%
36%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
ATM
3 - 0
ARA
91%
7%
2%
|
84 | 47 | 37 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2013 |
ATM
2 - 1
SAO
44%
25%
31%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2013 |
TOM
1 - 2
ATM
10%
18%
73%
|
84 | 50 | 34 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
CRZ
2 - 1
ATM
46%
25%
30%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Guarani MG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
GUA
0 - 1
VIL
47%
25%
28%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
GUA
0 - 0
CRZ
10%
18%
72%
|
47 | 83 | 36 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
CAL
1 - 1
GUA
53%
24%
23%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
FRI
6 - 0
GUA
55%
25%
21%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | -2 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
GUA
0 - 2
VOL
48%
26%
26%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -1 |