Atl. Mineiro vs Fluminense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.2%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
22.3%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.5%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atl. Mineiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2003 |
SAO
2 - 0
ATM
39%
26%
35%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2003 |
ATM
3 - 1
SPO
71%
17%
12%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2003 |
ATM
2 - 2
SAO
45%
23%
32%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2003 |
SPO
4 - 0
ATM
34%
25%
40%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2003 |
PPE
2 - 1
ATM
41%
24%
35%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2003 |
FLU
3 - 0
FFL
67%
19%
13%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2003 |
PAY
2 - 2
FLU
37%
24%
39%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2003 |
FLU
0 - 0
VAS
37%
25%
38%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2003 |
SPO
2 - 1
FLU
39%
26%
36%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2003 |
GRE
0 - 1
FLU
51%
24%
25%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | +1 |