Copa do Brasil 1/16
Global 6-2
Atl. Mineiro vs Ferroviário analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88.9%
Win probability
2.78
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1.3%
6-0
3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.4%
5-0
6.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
<0%
+5
7.4%
4-0
11.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
13.7%
3-0
16.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.4%
2-0
18.2%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.3%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
5%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
<0%
+1
18.8%
9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
3.6%
2-2
0.7%
3-3
0.1%
0
9%
2.1%
Win probability
0.27
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
0.5%
2-3
0.1%
-1
1.8%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0%
-2
0.2%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atl. Mineiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2018 |
ATM
3 - 1
CRZ
48%
25%
27%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
AMF
0 - 2
ATM
27%
27%
46%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2018 |
ATM
1 - 0
AMF
71%
19%
10%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
ATM
1 - 0
URT
88%
10%
2%
|
83 | 51 | 32 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2018 |
ATM
1 - 2
FFL
73%
18%
9%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Ferroviário
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2018 |
ABC
3 - 1
FER
68%
20%
12%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2018 |
FOR
2 - 1
FER
68%
20%
12%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2018 |
FER
1 - 4
VIT
10%
17%
72%
|
48 | 76 | 28 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
FER
0 - 3
FLO
59%
21%
21%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2018 |
VIL
0 - 1
FER
72%
19%
9%
|
48 | 65 | 17 | +1 |