Atl. Mineiro vs Cruzeiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.2%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
22.8%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atl. Mineiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
BOT
2 - 3
ATM
49%
24%
27%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
ATM
2 - 2
ATL
67%
20%
13%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
VAS
1 - 1
ATM
47%
25%
29%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
COT
1 - 0
ATM
47%
24%
28%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2012 |
ATM
1 - 1
FLA
64%
20%
16%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Cruzeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
CRZ
2 - 1
COT
51%
24%
25%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
FLU
0 - 2
CRZ
64%
20%
15%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
CRZ
3 - 1
BAH
60%
23%
17%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
CRZ
0 - 4
SAN
40%
26%
34%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2012 |
PPE
1 - 0
CRZ
31%
27%
42%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | -1 |