Copa do Brasil Last 16
Global 5-2
Atl. Mineiro vs CRB analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.8%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
16.6%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atl. Mineiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
CRI
2 - 1
ATM
35%
27%
38%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2024 |
CRB
2 - 2
ATM
33%
27%
40%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2024 |
ATM
2 - 1
COR
53%
25%
22%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
ATM
2 - 0
VAS
49%
25%
26%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2024 |
JUV
1 - 1
ATM
38%
27%
35%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
CRB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
OPE
2 - 0
CRB
23%
28%
48%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2024 |
CRB
2 - 2
ATM
33%
27%
40%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
CRB
1 - 1
SAN
33%
28%
39%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
GOI
1 - 1
CRB
52%
25%
23%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
CRB
1 - 0
ITU
61%
24%
16%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |