Copa do Brasil Last 16
Global 2-2
Atl. Mineiro vs Corinthians analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.5%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
20%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
12.5%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atl. Mineiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2023 |
ATM
2 - 0
SCI
59%
23%
18%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2023 |
CUI
0 - 4
ATM
20%
26%
54%
|
90 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
BOT
2 - 0
ATM
27%
27%
47%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2023 |
ATM
2 - 0
ALI
81%
14%
6%
|
90 | 76 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
ATM
2 - 1
ATP
62%
22%
17%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Corinthians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2023 |
COR
1 - 1
SAO
36%
27%
37%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2023 |
BOT
3 - 0
COR
43%
27%
29%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2023 |
COR
1 - 1
FOR
42%
27%
32%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2023 |
COR
1 - 2
IVT
59%
23%
19%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
PAL
2 - 1
COR
65%
21%
14%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | 0 |