Atl. Mineiro vs Caldense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88.1%
Win probability
2.86
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.2%
+7
1.4%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.5%
5-0
6.4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.6%
4-0
11.2%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.2%
+4
13.7%
3-0
15.7%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.1%
2-0
16.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
22.7%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.4%
9.2%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
1%
3-3
0.1%
0
9.2%
2.7%
Win probability
0.35
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
0.1%
3-4
0%
-1
2.3%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atl. Mineiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
VIL
1 - 4
ATM
12%
21%
68%
|
83 | 47 | 36 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2014 |
ATM
2 - 1
SFE
61%
21%
18%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
ATM
3 - 2
AMF
80%
13%
6%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2014 |
URT
0 - 5
ATM
12%
21%
67%
|
83 | 47 | 36 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
ATM
0 - 0
CRZ
44%
25%
32%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Caldense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
CAL
1 - 0
URT
56%
24%
20%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2014 |
MIN
2 - 1
CAL
25%
25%
50%
|
54 | 37 | 17 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
CAL
1 - 1
VIL
59%
24%
17%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
CAL
3 - 0
TUP
42%
27%
31%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
TOM
1 - 1
CAL
48%
25%
28%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |