Atl. Mineiro vs Caldense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.1%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.1%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
+4
10.5%
3-0
13.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.9%
2-0
16.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.5%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.1%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
13.1%
4.8%
Win probability
0.44
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atl. Mineiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
ATM
1 - 0
DEM
85%
12%
4%
|
79 | 52 | 27 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
UBE
2 - 5
ATM
13%
20%
68%
|
78 | 53 | 25 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2010 |
JUV
0 - 7
ATM
9%
16%
75%
|
78 | 47 | 31 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2010 |
ATM
1 - 3
CRZ
36%
26%
38%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
USC
2 - 2
ATM
12%
20%
68%
|
79 | 54 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Caldense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
CAL
4 - 0
VIL
35%
26%
39%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
AMF
4 - 0
CAL
60%
22%
18%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
CAL
1 - 1
UBE
37%
27%
37%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
CAL
0 - 2
CRZ
6%
17%
77%
|
48 | 85 | 37 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
TUP
5 - 1
CAL
52%
24%
25%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | -1 |