Atl. Mineiro vs River Plate analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.1%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.7%
12.2%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atl. Mineiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 1978 |
BOC
3 - 1
ATM
39%
27%
34%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1978 |
RIV
1 - 0
ATM
38%
27%
36%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 1978 |
ATM
1 - 2
BOC
72%
18%
9%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 1978 |
VIT
0 - 2
ATM
25%
28%
47%
|
90 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1978 |
GOY
1 - 1
ATM
19%
23%
58%
|
90 | 68 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 1978 |
RAC
0 - 1
RIV
48%
25%
27%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1978 |
RIV
3 - 2
GLP
70%
18%
12%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 1978 |
RIV
1 - 0
ATM
38%
27%
36%
|
82 | 90 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 1978 |
CAU
5 - 0
RIV
44%
27%
29%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 1978 |
RIV
4 - 0
ALB
74%
16%
9%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |