Atl. Mineiro vs Boca Juniors analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.4%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
15%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.3%
9.3%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atl. Mineiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 1978 |
VIT
0 - 2
ATM
25%
28%
47%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1978 |
GOY
1 - 1
ATM
19%
23%
58%
|
89 | 69 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1978 |
ATM
0 - 1
PAL
57%
25%
18%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1978 |
SCI
2 - 1
ATM
51%
25%
24%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1978 |
ATM
1 - 1
MIX
81%
12%
7%
|
89 | 71 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Boca Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 1978 |
BOC
1 - 3
SLO
64%
22%
15%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1978 |
CEN
0 - 1
BOC
43%
28%
30%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1978 |
BOC
0 - 0
RIV
57%
24%
19%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1978 |
BOC
4 - 3
CHA
68%
20%
13%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1978 |
BAN
1 - 3
BOC
34%
28%
38%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |