Copa Libertadores Last 16
Global 2-2
Atl. Mineiro vs Athletico Paranaense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.7%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
20%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
19.3%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atl. Mineiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2000 |
BVS
1 - 0
ATM
23%
25%
52%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2000 |
ATM
6 - 0
COB
71%
17%
12%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2000 |
BOL
4 - 0
ATM
40%
25%
35%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2000 |
ATM
2 - 1
BVS
83%
11%
6%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2000 |
COB
1 - 0
ATM
44%
24%
32%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Athletico Paranaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2000 |
ATP
2 - 0
NAC
60%
21%
19%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2000 |
EME
0 - 0
ATP
31%
23%
47%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2000 |
ATP
2 - 1
ALI
80%
13%
7%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2000 |
NAC
1 - 3
ATP
42%
25%
33%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2000 |
ATP
1 - 0
EME
81%
12%
7%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |