Atl. Mineiro vs Athletic Club analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.1%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
11.5%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atl. Mineiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
VIL
0 - 1
ATM
11%
23%
66%
|
88 | 49 | 39 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2025 |
ATM
1 - 1
AMF
46%
25%
29%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
POA
0 - 0
ATM
10%
23%
67%
|
88 | 53 | 35 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
ORL
0 - 0
ATM
39%
27%
34%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2025 |
ATM
1 - 1
DEM
86%
10%
4%
|
88 | 55 | 33 | 0 |
Matches
Athletic Club
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
ATH
3 - 1
TOM
49%
24%
26%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2025 |
ATH
6 - 1
VIL
79%
15%
6%
|
75 | 50 | 25 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
AYM
2 - 0
ATH
4%
10%
86%
|
76 | 38 | 38 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2025 |
ATH
1 - 0
CRZ
28%
28%
44%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
POA
0 - 1
ATH
11%
18%
71%
|
75 | 54 | 21 | 0 |