Mineiro 1 Final
Global 4-1
Atl. Mineiro vs América Mineiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.4%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
13.8%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atl. Mineiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2012 |
AMF
1 - 1
ATM
35%
25%
40%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2012 |
ATM
2 - 1
GOI
59%
21%
20%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
ATM
1 - 0
TUP
84%
12%
5%
|
78 | 55 | 23 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2012 |
GOI
2 - 0
ATM
38%
25%
38%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
TUP
1 - 1
ATM
14%
20%
67%
|
79 | 55 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
América Mineiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2012 |
AMF
1 - 1
ATM
35%
25%
40%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
CRZ
1 - 2
AMF
74%
16%
10%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
AMF
3 - 2
CRZ
24%
25%
51%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
AMF
0 - 4
GUA
83%
12%
5%
|
69 | 47 | 22 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2012 |
GOI
4 - 3
AMF
53%
23%
24%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | -1 |