Mineiro 1 Semi-finals
Global 5-2
Atl. Mineiro vs América Mineiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.7%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.8%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.6%
8.8%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atl. Mineiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
AMF
1 - 3
ATM
28%
25%
48%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
ATM
7 - 1
AME
87%
10%
4%
|
79 | 51 | 28 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
CAL
0 - 2
ATM
10%
18%
72%
|
79 | 50 | 29 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2011 |
ATM
0 - 0
GRÊ
75%
15%
10%
|
79 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
DEM
1 - 3
ATM
11%
17%
73%
|
79 | 53 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
América Mineiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
AMF
1 - 3
ATM
28%
25%
48%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
VIL
2 - 2
AMF
28%
26%
47%
|
68 | 52 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
AMF
4 - 3
DEM
73%
16%
10%
|
68 | 53 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
TUP
0 - 1
AMF
27%
26%
47%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
AMF
2 - 3
CRZ
21%
24%
55%
|
68 | 86 | 18 | -1 |