Atlético Mexiquense vs CD Tapatío analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.4%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23.9%
17.7%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Mexiquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
LEO
1 - 0
MEX
74%
17%
9%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
MEX
1 - 0
PUM
37%
28%
35%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
VER
2 - 0
MEX
75%
16%
8%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2009 |
MEX
1 - 0
DOR
34%
27%
39%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
TIG
1 - 0
MEX
50%
27%
24%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
CD Tapatío
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2009 |
CDT
2 - 3
LEO
22%
25%
53%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
PUM
2 - 2
CDT
67%
21%
12%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
CDT
0 - 1
VER
23%
26%
51%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
DOR
2 - 0
CDT
64%
22%
14%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
CDT
0 - 1
TIG
48%
27%
25%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | -1 |