Atletico Melilla vs Polillas Atlético analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.1%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.6%
25.3%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atletico Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
MAR
3 - 1
AME
56%
21%
24%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
AME
1 - 1
CDE
12%
17%
71%
|
16 | 39 | 23 | +2 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
JUV
3 - 1
AME
79%
14%
7%
|
17 | 37 | 20 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
MEL
1 - 2
AME
65%
18%
17%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2023 |
AME
1 - 0
TER
83%
11%
6%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Polillas Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2022 |
POL
3 - 0
ADC
28%
21%
51%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
HID
0 - 4
POL
22%
20%
58%
|
11 | 5 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
POL
5 - 1
CDC
38%
22%
41%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | +2 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
SPO
1 - 1
POL
75%
15%
11%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
POL
0 - 3
CJU
5%
11%
85%
|
10 | 28 | 18 | -1 |