Atlético Melilla Sub 19 vs Málaga U19 B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.3%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
2.9%
1-0
3%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.3%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.5%
71.2%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.3%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
14.5%
0-4
5.2%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
8.2%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.8%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-76%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
0
15º
16º
16º
41
1º
6º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
41 | 67 |
1º
|
83% | |
|
3º
|
35 | 58 |
2º
|
28% | |
|
2º
|
37 | 57 |
3º
|
32% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 55 |
4º
|
23.5% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 52 |
5º
|
30% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 46 |
6º
|
12.5% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 45 |
7º
|
18% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 45 |
8º
|
16% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 43 |
9º
|
19% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 40 |
10º
|
16% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 34 |
11º
|
11.5% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 32 |
12º
|
14% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 32 |
13º
|
17.5% | |
|
15º
|
17 | 31 |
14º
|
18.5% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 30 |
15º
|
30% | |
|
|
16º
|
0 | 8 |
16º
|
99.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 90.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 9.5% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Melilla Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
SAN
4 - 0
AME
69%
16%
15%
|
5 | 11 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
AME
1 - 3
ARE
16%
19%
65%
|
5 | 16 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
AME
0 - 3
UDA
11%
15%
75%
|
5 | 17 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
UCD
1 - 0
AME
70%
17%
14%
|
5 | 13 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
AME
0 - 1
ATA
37%
22%
41%
|
5 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Málaga U19 B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
MCF
1 - 3
LAS
81%
12%
7%
|
25 | 12 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
REA
2 - 3
MCF
21%
20%
59%
|
25 | 13 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
GRA
2 - 2
MCF
9%
16%
74%
|
25 | 9 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
MCF
2 - 2
CDT
77%
14%
9%
|
25 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
ELE
0 - 1
MCF
12%
18%
70%
|
24 | 11 | 13 | +1 |