Atlético Marte vs Juventud Independiente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.9%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
27.2%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Marte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
UES
1 - 0
ATL
38%
26%
36%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
FIR
0 - 2
ATL
65%
21%
15%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
ALI
2 - 1
ATL
61%
22%
17%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2012 |
ATL
0 - 1
AGU
35%
26%
39%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
ATL
4 - 1
MET
21%
23%
56%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Juventud Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
JUV
0 - 1
FAS
46%
26%
29%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
ONC
1 - 1
JUV
38%
29%
33%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
FIR
2 - 3
JUV
59%
23%
17%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2012 |
JUV
5 - 1
SAN
39%
27%
34%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | +2 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
JUV
0 - 3
ALI
47%
26%
27%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | -1 |