Atlético Marte vs Juventud Independiente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.3%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
18.8%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Marte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
ATL
2 - 0
UES
54%
24%
22%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2011 |
ATL
2 - 4
AGU
35%
28%
37%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
ONC
1 - 1
ATL
32%
27%
41%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
ATL
0 - 0
VIS
41%
27%
32%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
MET
2 - 1
ATL
68%
20%
13%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Juventud Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
MET
0 - 1
JUV
76%
16%
8%
|
48 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2011 |
JUV
1 - 2
ALI
26%
29%
45%
|
49 | 65 | 16 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
JUV
2 - 3
FIR
25%
29%
46%
|
49 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
FAS
2 - 1
JUV
64%
22%
14%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
AGU
5 - 1
JUV
69%
20%
12%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | 0 |