Copa del Rey 1/32
Global 1-3
Atlético Marbella vs Rayo Vallecano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.8%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
35.8%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Marbella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 1995 |
OSA
3 - 1
AMA
62%
23%
16%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1995 |
AMA
0 - 4
GET
68%
21%
11%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | -2 |
| 08 Oct. 1995 |
HER
1 - 1
AMA
62%
22%
16%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1995 |
AMA
1 - 3
FCB
37%
26%
37%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1995 |
MLL
1 - 1
AMA
74%
17%
10%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 1995 |
RAY
2 - 0
ALB
48%
25%
27%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1995 |
CDT
2 - 2
RAY
66%
21%
14%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1995 |
RAY
1 - 4
SLA
66%
21%
13%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 1995 |
COM
1 - 0
RAY
52%
25%
22%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 1995 |
RAY
3 - 2
VCF
30%
27%
43%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | +1 |