Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 4-3
Atlético Marbella vs Mármol Macael analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.9%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
19.6%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Marbella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1983 |
AMA
1 - 0
BEN
64%
21%
15%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1983 |
MMA
1 - 0
AMA
62%
22%
16%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 May. 1983 |
BEN
1 - 0
AMA
49%
26%
25%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | -2 |
| 15 May. 1983 |
AMA
2 - 0
BAL
57%
24%
19%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 May. 1983 |
MAL
1 - 0
AMA
52%
26%
22%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Mármol Macael
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1983 |
MOT
1 - 1
MMA
38%
29%
33%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1983 |
MMA
1 - 0
AMA
62%
22%
16%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1983 |
MMA
1 - 2
MEL
63%
21%
16%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 May. 1983 |
BAZ
3 - 3
MMA
51%
25%
24%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1983 |
MMA
2 - 2
JUV
66%
20%
14%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |