Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 1-4
Atlético Marbella vs CD Málaga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.7%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
4%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.9%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.6%
48.7%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
14.6%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
10%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Marbella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 1988 |
AMA
1 - 0
LEV
41%
30%
29%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1988 |
BAL
0 - 1
AMA
70%
20%
10%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | +1 |
| 08 May. 1988 |
AMA
1 - 0
POL
56%
27%
17%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1988 |
AGD
1 - 1
AMA
74%
18%
9%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 1988 |
AMA
3 - 0
BEN
60%
27%
13%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
CD Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 1988 |
FIG
1 - 0
MAL
51%
25%
24%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1988 |
MAL
1 - 3
RAY
70%
19%
12%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1988 |
DEP
2 - 2
MAL
41%
28%
31%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | -1 |
| 01 May. 1988 |
MAL
1 - 0
GRA
77%
15%
8%
|
73 | 57 | 16 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 1988 |
HER
0 - 1
MAL
45%
27%
29%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |