Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 2-5
Atlético Marbella vs CD Málaga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.5%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.7%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
12.6%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
48.6%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
16.3%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Marbella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 1984 |
PBL
2 - 0
AMA
76%
17%
7%
|
37 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1984 |
AMA
1 - 3
RAY
24%
32%
45%
|
38 | 61 | 23 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 1984 |
AMA
3 - 0
LEV
44%
31%
24%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | +3 |
| 02 Sep. 1984 |
ALC
3 - 0
AMA
80%
14%
5%
|
35 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1984 |
AMA
2 - 0
CDF
55%
24%
21%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
CD Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 1984 |
MAL
1 - 0
ATM
34%
26%
40%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1984 |
MUR
4 - 0
MAL
56%
24%
20%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 1984 |
RSO
0 - 1
MAL
65%
22%
14%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1984 |
MAL
0 - 1
SEV
45%
26%
29%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1984 |
MAL
0 - 2
MLL
67%
18%
14%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | -1 |