Mancha Real vs Vélez CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.1%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
17.8%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-47%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mancha Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2021 |
ANT
0 - 0
MAN
47%
26%
28%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
MAN
3 - 0
PAL
57%
24%
20%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
MAR
1 - 0
MAN
26%
27%
47%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
MAN
4 - 0
POL
68%
19%
13%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
MAN
3 - 0
CDT
62%
21%
17%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Vélez CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2021 |
VEL
1 - 1
ALM
26%
25%
50%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
TOR
1 - 1
VEL
64%
20%
16%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
VEL
2 - 1
MEL
49%
22%
29%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
PAL
1 - 0
VEL
57%
22%
21%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
VEL
1 - 0
MOT
38%
26%
37%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | +1 |