Mancha Real vs Vélez CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.5%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
14.5%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mancha Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
CAS
1 - 2
MAN
40%
27%
33%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
MAN
1 - 1
VIL
57%
23%
20%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
MAL
1 - 0
MAN
62%
21%
17%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
MAN
3 - 1
PAL
54%
24%
22%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
ALH
1 - 2
MAN
33%
27%
40%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Vélez CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
VEL
0 - 0
MAR
45%
26%
30%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
JUV
0 - 0
VEL
39%
24%
36%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
VEL
0 - 2
ATA
65%
20%
16%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
EST
4 - 1
VEL
76%
15%
9%
|
26 | 40 | 14 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
VEL
1 - 1
MAR
34%
26%
40%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | 0 |