Mancha Real vs River Melilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.4%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.8%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.4%
3-0
12.8%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.1%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
12.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12.3%
5.3%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mancha Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
ANT
1 - 1
MAN
63%
20%
16%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
MAN
1 - 2
JUV
66%
19%
15%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
ALH
2 - 1
MAN
35%
25%
41%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
MAN
2 - 1
PAL
38%
26%
35%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
MOT
0 - 0
MAN
53%
22%
25%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
River Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
RIV
0 - 3
VEL
12%
20%
69%
|
14 | 32 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
ALH
4 - 1
RIV
81%
12%
7%
|
15 | 23 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
RIV
2 - 0
CDR
14%
21%
65%
|
12 | 23 | 11 | +3 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
GUA
1 - 2
RIV
82%
13%
6%
|
11 | 21 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
HUE
5 - 0
RIV
82%
12%
6%
|
12 | 21 | 9 | -1 |