Mancha Real vs El Palo FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.6%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
19.7%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mancha Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
MAR
1 - 0
MAN
26%
27%
47%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
MAN
4 - 0
POL
68%
19%
13%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
MAN
3 - 0
CDT
62%
21%
17%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
HUE
0 - 1
MAN
42%
26%
33%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
MAN
1 - 0
RJA
49%
24%
27%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
El Palo FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
ALH
1 - 1
PAL
37%
26%
37%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
PAL
1 - 0
VEL
57%
22%
21%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
MAL
1 - 1
PAL
52%
24%
24%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
PAL
2 - 1
ANT
38%
25%
37%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
MEL
1 - 0
PAL
25%
24%
51%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | -1 |