Mancha Real vs El Palo FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.2%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
15.5%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mancha Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
MEL
0 - 1
MAN
12%
18%
70%
|
35 | 14 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
MAN
3 - 0
MAR
77%
15%
8%
|
35 | 19 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
ATA
0 - 0
MAN
23%
24%
53%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
MAN
3 - 0
HUE
81%
13%
6%
|
35 | 17 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2018 |
TOR
3 - 0
MAN
32%
25%
43%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | -2 |
Matches
El Palo FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
PAL
1 - 0
VIL
79%
13%
8%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
MAR
1 - 0
PAL
33%
25%
43%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | -2 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
PAL
2 - 0
HUE
30%
24%
45%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | +4 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
CDR
1 - 1
PAL
45%
24%
31%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2018 |
PAL
2 - 2
MOT
35%
24%
41%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | 0 |