Mancha Real vs El Palo FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.6%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
22.3%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mancha Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
ALH
1 - 2
MAN
33%
27%
40%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
MAN
1 - 0
RON
62%
22%
16%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
HUE
1 - 1
MAN
23%
26%
52%
|
33 | 18 | 15 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
MAN
1 - 0
UDS
40%
26%
34%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
GRA
1 - 4
MAN
26%
27%
47%
|
31 | 19 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
El Palo FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
PAL
0 - 1
MAR
63%
20%
17%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
JUV
2 - 2
PAL
24%
24%
53%
|
29 | 19 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
PAL
3 - 2
ATA
82%
12%
7%
|
29 | 18 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
EST
0 - 1
PAL
75%
16%
9%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | +2 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
PAL
0 - 0
MAR
51%
23%
26%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | 0 |