Mancha Real vs Los Molinos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.3%
8.8%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mancha Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
UDM
0 - 1
MAN
21%
26%
53%
|
35 | 15 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
MAN
2 - 0
HUE
79%
15%
6%
|
35 | 16 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
MAR
1 - 2
MAN
41%
28%
31%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
MAN
0 - 1
MAL
48%
25%
27%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
ALQ
1 - 1
MAN
34%
27%
39%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Los Molinos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
MOL
2 - 4
VEL
26%
25%
49%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
VIL
2 - 2
MOL
45%
24%
31%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
MOL
5 - 0
UDS
30%
25%
46%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | +2 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
MOL
3 - 0
EST
33%
26%
42%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
UDM
2 - 1
MOL
31%
25%
45%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |