Mancha Real vs Maracena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.1%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.3%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.9%
8%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mancha Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
ATA
0 - 0
MAN
23%
24%
53%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
MAN
3 - 0
HUE
81%
13%
6%
|
35 | 17 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2018 |
TOR
3 - 0
MAN
32%
25%
43%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | -2 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
MAN
2 - 1
UDS
79%
14%
7%
|
37 | 19 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
ALM
0 - 1
MAN
54%
24%
22%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Maracena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
MAR
0 - 2
VIL
60%
22%
19%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
MAR
3 - 0
MAR
50%
23%
27%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2018 |
MAR
0 - 0
HUE
16%
22%
63%
|
20 | 38 | 18 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
CDR
2 - 1
MAR
60%
20%
20%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
MAR
0 - 2
MOT
22%
23%
56%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | -1 |